I was looking over the NFL future odds “NFL Regular Season Win Totals” betting options, looking for an edge. I always like to have a few Season Win Total bets in my pocket by the time the regular season kicks off. For one, I have a pretty good record over the years of making a profit on these future bets, and two, I like having the season-long action, as every weekend, regardless of what single game wagers you make, you’ll also have a betting interest in a few games.
So it was with this in mind that I put my NFL handicapping hat on and was looking over the AFC South division for a possible bet.
Looking at the NFL odds ,Football Bets at online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com, the Indianapolis Colts have an Over/Under Season Win total of 10.5. At this point, before camp, I don’t have a feel one way or the other. The same goes for the numbers on Jacksonville (Over/Under 8) and the Houston Texans (Over/Under 8.5).
NFL Picks
But the Tennessee Titans line of Over/Under 9 caught my eye. Tennessee is coming off a near perfect regular season in 2008, sporting a 13-3 mark. I just don’t see a repeat of those lofty numbers, not with their 2009 schedule.
That said, I do see some value in playing the “Over” 9 wins for this team in 2009. Online sportsbook have added some juice to the “Over” play, but I’m willing to lay the -130 juice on this one.
Yes, the Titans lost All-World defensive player Albert Haynesworth, and while his absence will, of course, be felt, I don’t think it will be as significant as many others. Haynesworth makes everyone around him better, of that there is no question, but this Tennessee defense has played without him in the past, and played well. He has not managed to suit up for all 16 games in a season since his second year in the league. But more importantly for the sports betting crew who are looking at betting on this team is that defensive line coach Jim Washburn is one of the best position coaches in the league. He gets the most out of his players and knows how to scheme for opposing O-lines, creating mismatches. Don’t look for a big drop-off from this defense. They’re very solid at linebacker and have one of the best secondaries in the game.
Offensively, they have all the pieces in place. Kerry Collins isn’t going to dazzle anyone, but he proved to be a very steady pivot and one who could make plays when he needed to. The O-line is good at pass protection and very good at run blocking.
With Chris Johnson and Lendale White, the Titans will be tough to control when they run the ball. Look for them to continue to churn out the yards on the ground, which takes pressure off the passing game, opening the entire offense up.
With the pieces still largely in place, this is a team that has a shot at going deep in the playoffs.
Looking at the current lineup and their schedule, I see them hitting 10 to 11 wins, which triggered the bet at SPORTSBETTING.com on the “Over” 9 wins.
Good luck with all your NFL betting as we get ready for the NFL Football Bets preseason. Next week I’ll be looking at the NFL preseason odds and preseason picks for Week 1.
Good luck with all your sports betting picks.
Showing posts with label NFL Preseason. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Preseason. Show all posts
Wednesday, August 5, 2009
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
NFL Football Betting Online Preseason Odds
Hall-of-Fame game - The kick-off to the 2009 NFL Preseason schedule is closing in, with the first matchup taking place Hall-of-Fame weekend. That launches a little more than four weeks of NFL action, featuring 11 nationally televised games and is the official start of the NFL betting season.
Online sportsbooks will have all the NFL preseason odds posted soon, as teams head to camp. NFL preseason Week 1 odds will be up, plus you can look at Week 1 NFL odds which are live now.
View NFL Betting odds.
The annual Hall-of-Fame game features the Buffalo Bills vs. the Tennessee Titans in Canton, Ohio on Sunday, August 9th. The matchup, which will be nationally televised on NBC, was created to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the American Football League.
When you’re involved in online sports betting, you are probably already starting to think about these preseason games, reading one or two NFL annual preview magazines and cruising NFL-focused sites.
Preseason NFL betting takes some finesse, as handicapping the exhibition games is quite different than handicapping NFL regular season tilts.
The first thing I do when betting on the NFL Football Betting Online during the preseason is look at QB depth and then quickly move on to handicapping the situation. If a team has a real QB battle going on, with two or three decent pro-level pivots on the roster who are going to be playing, this is of real interest. Look for quality on the depth chart below the starter. Peyton Manning and Tom Brady won’t have a significant impact on the NFL preseason betting results over the first couple of weeks. But the second and third stringers will. Keep this in mind.
The situation is also highly relevant. Particularly look for coaches and teams that are in spots where they might be really motivated to win. Preseason NFL games is the only time of the sports betting year when you will find varying motivations coming into a game. One coach might not care at all about whether his team wins or loses, he simply wants to get some players reps, evaluate a few key newcomers or watch for a positional battle or two. But it is not uncommon for a team like that to be facing a coach who does actually want to record a “W”, for whatever reason.
If the coach is a rookie and lost in Week 1, or the team is coming off a bad season and a new coach is looking to install a winning attitude early, etc. Fact is, some coaches simply don’t care about winning during the preseason and others do. Try and read local papers for pre-game interviews and see if you can pick up whether the coaches have been gameplanning for their preseason matchup. It’s unusual for a coach to spend time gameplanning for an opponent during the exhibition season, as they’re more focused on player evaluation, getting their schemes in place, etc. But if they’re studying film and putting in place plays to counteract or go after another team’s schemes, pay extra close attention. This is important to know when handicapping preseason games.
Looking at the betting odds during preseason games is not as critical as it is during the regular season. The first step in NFL handicapping during the “real” season is to check out all the NFL odds for that week and start the process of looking for value somewhere on the betting board.
That isn’t the case during August. You really don’t see significant favorites through the first couple of weeks of preseason ball. You’ll see many of the lines hover around 3, the obligatory number of points given to the home side. Don’t get too caught up with the pointspread when online sports betting during the early going of the NFL preseason.
Check out the sportsbook for odds updates, injury news, trends and sports betting tips all day, every day.
Online sportsbooks will have all the NFL preseason odds posted soon, as teams head to camp. NFL preseason Week 1 odds will be up, plus you can look at Week 1 NFL odds which are live now.
View NFL Betting odds.
The annual Hall-of-Fame game features the Buffalo Bills vs. the Tennessee Titans in Canton, Ohio on Sunday, August 9th. The matchup, which will be nationally televised on NBC, was created to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the American Football League.
When you’re involved in online sports betting, you are probably already starting to think about these preseason games, reading one or two NFL annual preview magazines and cruising NFL-focused sites.
Preseason NFL betting takes some finesse, as handicapping the exhibition games is quite different than handicapping NFL regular season tilts.
The first thing I do when betting on the NFL Football Betting Online during the preseason is look at QB depth and then quickly move on to handicapping the situation. If a team has a real QB battle going on, with two or three decent pro-level pivots on the roster who are going to be playing, this is of real interest. Look for quality on the depth chart below the starter. Peyton Manning and Tom Brady won’t have a significant impact on the NFL preseason betting results over the first couple of weeks. But the second and third stringers will. Keep this in mind.
The situation is also highly relevant. Particularly look for coaches and teams that are in spots where they might be really motivated to win. Preseason NFL games is the only time of the sports betting year when you will find varying motivations coming into a game. One coach might not care at all about whether his team wins or loses, he simply wants to get some players reps, evaluate a few key newcomers or watch for a positional battle or two. But it is not uncommon for a team like that to be facing a coach who does actually want to record a “W”, for whatever reason.
If the coach is a rookie and lost in Week 1, or the team is coming off a bad season and a new coach is looking to install a winning attitude early, etc. Fact is, some coaches simply don’t care about winning during the preseason and others do. Try and read local papers for pre-game interviews and see if you can pick up whether the coaches have been gameplanning for their preseason matchup. It’s unusual for a coach to spend time gameplanning for an opponent during the exhibition season, as they’re more focused on player evaluation, getting their schemes in place, etc. But if they’re studying film and putting in place plays to counteract or go after another team’s schemes, pay extra close attention. This is important to know when handicapping preseason games.
Looking at the betting odds during preseason games is not as critical as it is during the regular season. The first step in NFL handicapping during the “real” season is to check out all the NFL odds for that week and start the process of looking for value somewhere on the betting board.
That isn’t the case during August. You really don’t see significant favorites through the first couple of weeks of preseason ball. You’ll see many of the lines hover around 3, the obligatory number of points given to the home side. Don’t get too caught up with the pointspread when online sports betting during the early going of the NFL preseason.
Check out the sportsbook for odds updates, injury news, trends and sports betting tips all day, every day.
