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Thursday, October 22, 2009

College Football Picks - College Football Betting Lines


Related Posts are:  NASCAR Betting, Betting Guide, Sports Gambling,

So the first BCS standings of 2009 have been released and to no one’s surprise, the Florida Gators—+125 to win this season’s BCS championship at most online sportsbooks—are Kings of the college football hill followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the two-spot.

Strangely enough though, Florida dropped to No. 2, trumped by ‘Bama in the Associated Press poll but football fans in “The Swamp” probably don’t care, as their team is tops in the more prestigious poll.

Florida’s first game as the top BCS team is on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and it is a big 22.5-point road fave and with a Total of 48.5.

The Gators will be looking to maintain No. 1 and this Saturday’s game will mark the fifth-straight week when they’ve been favored by double-digits.

The defending BCS champs have been a online college football betting machine rattling off 16 consecutive straight up wins in a row. For sports bettors, when betting against the spread, in their last 14 games in which a betting line has been posted, the Gators sport an 11-2-1 ATS mark – not too shabby at all.
In Florida’s last 11 games when favored by more than 8-points, they have also been impressive, going 8-2-1 against the spread.

After last week’s scare for Florida, this might be a spot where they look to really trounce an opponent.
Talking to online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com about this game, they said the gators are currently seeing about 70% of all the action wagered on the matchup.

Alabama vs. Tennessee

The AP’s No.1 team and the BCS’ No. 2 will host the Tennessee Volunteers and are favored by 14.5-points with an Over/Under of 43—‘Bama is listed at +250 to win the national championship this year.

Despite being favored by over two TDs, Alabama hasn’t been nearly as dominant against Tennessee; the Vols are 10-4 SU vs. the Tide but not such a good bet ATS, going 7-6-1 in those same games.

Tennessee has been very solid in its last nine games when listed at more than +8, going 7-1-1 ATS.
In the Volunteers’ last seven games in Alabama, they have gone 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS.

A dark horse in the race for the BCS championship is the Miami Hurricanes.It’s been a while since The U” has been mentioned as a National contender, but with a current overall record of 5-1 (2-1 in the ACC) and a 10th-place ranking in the BCS, you wouldn’t be crazy to think that Miami has an outside shot in the BCS title game—they are a +2500 longshot to win the national title.

Unlike Florida and Alabama, the ‘Canes are favored by a single-digit this week; they are 5-point home faves for a game against the Clemson Tigers with a 44 Total.Clemson’s last 13 games against conference rivals have produced 10 Unders and 3 Overs and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight ACC matchups.

Miami has been hot in their last nine home games, going 7-2 SU and in their last 18 home games with a posted Total, have 14 Unders and 4 Overs, including five-straight Unders in a row.

The Tigers have been very effective when ‘dogged by 6-points or less, going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games with the betting line in that range.

College Picks:This week I’m laying the big points and playing on the Gators. I also might look at playing the underdog Tigers facing Miami.

Have a great week and good luck with your college bets.

Check the current College Football Betting Lines

Monday, October 19, 2009

Monday Night Football: Broncos vs. Chargers



When planning out how the conclusion to the NFL betting card for Week 6 would shape up, this matchup between the Denver Broncos and San Diego Chargers couldn’t have been scripted any better. ESPN has to be happy with this matchup. 

On one side of the field, an AFC West team that has surprised many with its .500 start and defensive struggles, desperately seeking to generate something positive out of its second divisional game of the year. And then on the other, an opponent that has already established dominance in the West with wins at home and abroad and looks to this game as a chance to prove to a national TV audience that they are indeed for real.

It all sounds about right; only thing is that somebody forgot to let the Broncos in on the plan.
In a complete role reversal, Denver has busted out of the gate this season with a 5-0 SU/ATS start. Critics shot holes in the record at 3-0, citing the win at Cincinnati as fluke and the triumphs over Cleveland and Oakland as compulsory. But come from behind victories the past two weeks against Dallas and a New England silenced most detractors. The Patriots response to that overtime loss in Denver – a 59-0 blowout vs. Tennessee on Sunday – quieted the rest.

Online sportsbooks have the odds on this one set at -3.5 on the home side Chargers heading into Monday’s betting action. San Diego’s 5-1 record vs. Denver in the past six meetings also had to be taken into account.
Denver’s defense has been the real story this year, led by linebacker Elvis Dumervil (five sacks) and inspired by a rejuvenated Brian Dawkins on the back end. It’s taken the heat off QB Kyle Orton, allowing him to pad a now very impressive 26-12 record as a starter by simple managing the football game, not win it on his arm alone.

Chargers QB Philip Rivers has thrived under the Monday Night lights, posting a 4-0 record and a sparkling 106.9 passer rating, but San Diego will need its 32nd ranked run-game to come around if it hopes to compete against Denver.

Betting on the Broncos D to keep opponents in check has produced a perfect record of five-straight picks on the "Under" and against this Charger team that cranked out 52 points against them in Week 17, capping a miserable 2008 season, revenge is the order of the day.

San Diego is fully rested off its bye week and Denver has a bye on-deck. The Broncos used to play well before a bye (11-2 ATS) but they are 0-2 SU/ATS the past two years, giving up 82 combined points in those losses. Offensive dominated both meetings last year as these hated rivals combined for 150 total points.

This is the first of three-straight divisional games for San Diego but this does not shape up as a look-ahead spot for either team. More likely, this should turn into one of the hardest hitting Monday games bettors have been treated to all year.

NFL Picks: The Broncos season has been very impressive, but I lean to the Chargers laying -3 (buy the hook), as they get the job done at home on Monday night football.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

BCS Bowl Rankings – Online Betting

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BCS Bowl Rankings – Online Betting
The first Bowl Championship Series rankings (BCS Rankings) of 2009 will be released this Sunday and as it stands, the Top 3 college football teams, according to the Associated Press and ESPN, are the Florida Gators, the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Texas Longhorns.

Let’s take a look at NCAA football odds for the top three teams as the sports betting public prepares for the rankings. 

Florida Gators
The song remains the same in the No. 1 position as the Gators have maintained their perch atop the Division I rankings since the preseason rankings were released.
Back in early-August, Florida was listed as the odds-on favorite to win both the Southeastern Conference (-225) and repeat as BCS champions (+200).

While the Gators started off the season with two soft opponents (Charleston Southern and Troy), they have faced three sturdier challenges recently and have passed the test, going 3-0 straight up.
Florida defeated the Tennessee Volunteers 23-13 back on September 19 but failed to cover as favorites of 30-something.

They hammered the Kentucky Wildcats 41-7, covering a 20-something pointspread, but received a scare when star QB Tim Tebow suffered a concussion.
Tebow bounced back in a game against LSU a few weeks later when the Gators defeated the Tigers 13-3, covering at 7.5-points.
Florida Gators Odds: Currently, the Florida Gators’ odds have improved, as they are currently -300 to take the SEC and +125 to win back to back BCS titles.

Alabama Crimson Tide
While the Gators own the best record in the SEC East at 5-0, they don’t own the best record in the SEC overall, the 6-0 Alabama Crimson Tide have that honor.

Currently ranked No. 2 in the AP poll, the Tide have definitely been moving since the preseason, when online sportsbook had them ranked No. 5 and listed at +2000 to take this season’s BCS title.

‘Bama has a tough sked going down the stretch however, as they face a tough divisional matchups the likes of the No. 22 South Carolina Gamecocks (the Tide are -17 for that game), the Tennessee Volunteers, the No. 10 LSU Tigers, the Mississippi St. Bulldogs and then the Auburn Tigers.

Alabama Odds: Like the Gators, the Tide’s odds have also improved as they are currently +350 to win the 2010 BCS championship.

Texas Longhorns
While they are still undefeated and atop the Big 12, the Texas Longhorns have taken a small slip in the AP poll.
Ranked as the second-best team in the nation in the preseason (+700 to win the national title at the time), Texas currently sees itself in the No. 3 spot.
The Longhorns can grab some brownie points this week with a convincing win over the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners in this year’s Red River Rivalry game—Texas is currently a 3.5-point favorite for that game—just in time for the first BCS rankings.

Prior to the release of those rankings, Texas is a +400 favorite in 2010 BCS championship futures online betting.

Elevator Going Down!
Oklahoma Sooners
While Texas, Florida and Alabama have seen their odds to win it all improve, the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners have seen the opposite occur.

The runners-up to the Florida Gators in last season’s BCS championship, Oklahoma was +500 to win the national title in the preseason but in hindsight, a wager on them wouldn’t have been wise.
Oklahoma’s bad luck started in Week 1 when they not only failed to cover a 21.5-point spread against the BYU Cougars, they lost 14-13 as well.

And the Sooners dealt their BCS chances another blow two weeks ago when they lost to the Miami Hurricanes 21-20.

The Sooners currently aren’t an option in 2010 BCS championship futures betting.
There usually is some controversy when the first BCS rankings are released but it’s a pretty safe bet that Florida, Alabama and Texas will be at the top.

Enjoy the weekend NCAA football betting action.

Monday, September 7, 2009

NFL Betting –Rookie of the Year Betting – NFL Future Wagers

As the 2009 season is set for kick-off, bettors at online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com have been turning up the heat on getting their NFL future wagers in before the Thursday night opening game. One of the popular NFL betting options has been the Offensive Rookie of the Year future odd offering.
NFL Betting
Quarterback Matt Ryan won the Offensive Rookie of the Year last season after leading the Falcons to the playoffs. Since 1957, when the award was first given, only three quarterbacks have won the award including Ryan, Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger in 2004 and Tennessee's Vince Young in 2006.

Ryan was a landslide winner in balloting by a nationwide panel of 50 sports writers and broadcasters who cover the league. He collected 44 votes, far in front of Titans running back Chris Johnson with three.

This year the likelihood of a quarterback winning the award is high since both Mark Sanchez (NYJ) and the No. 1 overall pick, Mathew Stafford (Det) have earned starting jobs. Online sportsbook are offering 8-to-1 odds on either of the two rookie pivots to take the honor in 2009.

At SPORTSBETTING.com, Sanchez has been seeing steady betting volume the last two weeks, with him currently sitting at 16% of all the betting volume for this betting option.

More running backs have won the award than any other position and this year’s rookie class is complete with three top runners.

Knowshon Moreno (DEN) is the favorite, paying back 3-to-1, as the Broncos are expected to use the tailback as a major component of the offense. Denver’s offense is in dire need of a new identity after jettisoning QB Jay Cutler and will rely on Moreno to become a leader.

In his sophomore season at Georgia Moreno compiled 1,792 yards of total offense securing 1,400 rushing yards on 250 carries and 392 yards on 33 receptions while scoring 18 touchdowns.

The Arizona Cardinals selected running back Chris “Beanie” Wells (+400) from Ohio State with their first round pick and he has a good chance of putting up some big numbers in a weak NFC West. He will split carries with Tim Hightower but he will be a difference maker in the Cards offense.

Running back Donald Brown (+500) of the Indianapolis Colts will be splitting carries with Joseph Addai which could initially hamper his ability to match the numbers that Moreno or Wells will put up but he will also be a featured back in the passing game which should enhance his productivity.

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Matthew Stafford will have to put up numbers unseen before to win the award, as his team will be hard pressed to win more than five games. Usually the success of the individual is closely linked with the success of his team and it’s hard to see both Stafford and the Lions having the kind of success that would merit the recognition needed to win the award.

Sanchez has a great opportunity to win. The Jets are in the media capital of North America, which will result in a lot more media coverage and votes than the hinterland of Detroit or Denver. The Jets are also a fairly stable team that doesn’t require Sanchez to do much more than manage the offense. New York’s overall success this year hinges on its D.

The top wide receiver going into the draft was Michael Crabtree. Unfortunately, he is still embroiled in a contract dispute with the 49ers so there is no chance he will be considered. A receiver that might get consideration is Minnesota’s Percy Harvin (12-to-1) who will benefit from having Brett Favre throwing him the ball. Harvin had an outstanding career with the Florida Gators and is a threat to go the distance any time he touches the ball.

You can check out all the NFL betting Lines and join the biggest free football contest on the Internet at the trusted and secure online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com.

NFL Betting – NFL Picks and NFL Odds


The best part of Week 4 preseason is the fact you can see the real season just over the fence...and in this case, we are less than a week away from betting into regular season NFL betting odds on the Week 1 matchups.

But there are still a handful of preseason games remaining. Let’s take a look at three of the matchups from Friday night.

All lines are courtesy online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com

NFL Picks

Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Lines: Houston: - 3
Over/Under: 34

Both teams are 1-2 going into the last preseason game. Houston will sit gimpy QB Matt Schaub to rest his ankle for the home opener against the Jets. Second-string quarterback Rex Grossman has a hamstring injury but will see limited duty. Dan Orlovsky will start and look to improve on his last performance against the Vikings in week three where he completed seven-of-11 passes for 74 yards, with an interception and no touchdowns. Keep an eye on WR Jacoby Jones to continue his strong preseason and rookie running back Arian Foster to get most of the carries. Rookie LB Brian Cushing could see his first preseason action.

Tampa Bay is entering this game after having fired Offensive Coordinator Jeff Jagodzinski and will look to open up the playbook to get better results than their first three games. The Bucs have named Byron Leftwich their starting QB and he will sit this one out handing the reigns over to highly touted rookie Josh Freeman. Luke McCown will also see some time as the Bucs have been quietly shopping him this week. Tampa will sit most of their starters and rely on a backfield of B.J. Askew and Clifton Smith.Small lean to the home team at +3.

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota: - 3
Over/Under: 36

The Cowboys at 1-2 take on the Vikings in Minnesota who are looking to go 4-0 in preseason.

Brett Favre, Adrian Peterson and the rest of the Vikings starters are out. Tarvaris Jackson will start and word is the Vikes are shopping him around the league. Top wide-out Bernard Berrian is still out after missing the last two games with a hamstring injury.

Dallas is 1-2 in preseason and will likely rest all of their starters. Roy Williams will sit out to rest his sore shoulder. The Cowboys are looking to play most of the 3rd and 4th string players.
Proceed at your own risk

San Francisco 49ers at San Diego Chargers
San Diego: - 3.5
Over/Under: 37

The last preseason game mercifully wraps up in San Diego with the Niners in town. San Francisco is 3-0 in preseason and the Chargers are 1-2. The Niners will likely go with fifth round pick Nate Davis at quarterback for most of the game. He led the 49ers on an 88 yard scoring drive last week against the Cowboys. His play resulted in the release this week of 12-year veteran Damon Huard. Alex Smith is out with a hand injury and starter Shaun Hill will see limited action.

Hill has completed 14-of-26 passes for 140 yards without a touchdown or interception during the exhibition period to date. The running game has been impressive gaining 5.0 yards per rush. Rookie Glen Coffee has 230 yards on 38 carries and free agent Kory Sheets has 144 on 33 carries and 3 touchdowns.

The Chargers are looking to get most of their starters in for one or two series. LaDainian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles will not play. Running back Michael Bennett has three td’s in the preseason and is making a strong push to make the 53-man roster.

Small lean to the Chargers.

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