Thursday, October 29, 2009

World Series bumps Favre’s Lambeau return

Internet Betting - The big game on this week’s NFL sked sees Minnesota Vikings QB Brett Favre returning to his old stomping ground, Lambeau Field.

The Vikes are 3.5-point underdogs and the Total is set at 47.

Favre has taken a pre-emptive strike saying that this year’s Vikings team “physically, and from a talent level, is the best team [he’s] ever been on”–that would include the 1996 Green Bay Packers team that Favre won a Super Bowl with.

Favre said his comments weren’t a slight to that ‘96 team. - Betting Odds

While Minnesota is 3-6 straight up in its last nine visits to Wisconsin, it is also 7-2 against the spread.

The Vikings are also 2-7 SU and ATS when underdogs of 4-points or less.

World Series bumps Favre’s Lambeau return

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The big game on this week’s NFL sked sees Minnesota Vikings QB Brett Favre returning to his old stomping ground, Lambeau Field.
The Vikes are 3.5-point underdogs and the Total is set at 47.
Favre has taken a pre-emptive strike saying that this year’s Vikings team “physically, and from a talent level, is the best team [he’s] ever been on”–that would include the 1996 Green Bay Packers team that Favre won a Super Bowl with.
Favre said his comments weren’t a slight to that ‘96 team.

While Minnesota is 3-6 straight up in its last nine visits to Wisconsin, it is also 7-2 against the spread.

The Vikings are also 2-7 SU and ATS when underdogs of 4-points or less.

Cavs Look To Take Flight At Air Canada Centre

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Favored to take the East (+150), the Cleveland Cavaliers didn’t exactly get off to a good start, losing to the Boston Celtics in their opener last night.

The Cavs look to rebound tonight in Toronto at the ACC when they take on the Raptors–Cleveland is a 6-point road fave with the Over/Under at 192.5.

In Cleveland’s last 13 visits to Toronto, it has taken 10 Unders, 2 Overs and a Push, including Unders in the last seven-straight games.

The Cavs have also done well when playing the second of back to backs, going 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in such games.

2009 World Series Game 1 Trends

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As mentioned, the World Series begins tonight between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Yankees with the AL champs listed as -173 home faves and the NL champs +158 road ‘dogs.
In the last 10 meetings overall between the two, the Under has prevailed 8 times and the Over twice.

In Philly’s last nine road games, they have gone Over the Total 8 times.
The Yankees are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games with 9 Unders and a Push on the Total, including 7 Unders in a row.

Cliff Lee starts for Philadelphia and in his last 10 road starts, his teams (Cleveland and Philly) have gone 8-2 SU.
CC Sabathia takes the mound for the Pinstripes, who are 9-0 SU in CC’s last nine home starts with 8 Unders.
Both the Bronx Bombers and the Phillies are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games in October with the NL Pennant winners taking 7 Overs, 2 Unders and a Push in the same time.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

College Football Picks - College Football Betting Lines

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So the first BCS standings of 2009 have been released and to no one’s surprise, the Florida Gators—+125 to win this season’s BCS championship at most online sportsbooks—are Kings of the college football hill followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the two-spot.

Strangely enough though, Florida dropped to No. 2, trumped by ‘Bama in the Associated Press poll but football fans in “The Swamp” probably don’t care, as their team is tops in the more prestigious poll.

Florida’s first game as the top BCS team is on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and it is a big 22.5-point road fave and with a Total of 48.5.

The Gators will be looking to maintain No. 1 and this Saturday’s game will mark the fifth-straight week when they’ve been favored by double-digits.

The defending BCS champs have been a online college football betting machine rattling off 16 consecutive straight up wins in a row. For sports bettors, when betting against the spread, in their last 14 games in which a betting line has been posted, the Gators sport an 11-2-1 ATS mark – not too shabby at all.
In Florida’s last 11 games when favored by more than 8-points, they have also been impressive, going 8-2-1 against the spread.

After last week’s scare for Florida, this might be a spot where they look to really trounce an opponent.
Talking to online sportsbook about this game, they said the gators are currently seeing about 70% of all the action wagered on the matchup.

Alabama vs. Tennessee

The AP’s No.1 team and the BCS’ No. 2 will host the Tennessee Volunteers and are favored by 14.5-points with an Over/Under of 43—‘Bama is listed at +250 to win the national championship this year.

Despite being favored by over two TDs, Alabama hasn’t been nearly as dominant against Tennessee; the Vols are 10-4 SU vs. the Tide but not such a good bet ATS, going 7-6-1 in those same games.

Tennessee has been very solid in its last nine games when listed at more than +8, going 7-1-1 ATS.
In the Volunteers’ last seven games in Alabama, they have gone 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS.

A dark horse in the race for the BCS championship is the Miami Hurricanes.It’s been a while since The U” has been mentioned as a National contender, but with a current overall record of 5-1 (2-1 in the ACC) and a 10th-place ranking in the BCS, you wouldn’t be crazy to think that Miami has an outside shot in the BCS title game—they are a +2500 longshot to win the national title.

Unlike Florida and Alabama, the ‘Canes are favored by a single-digit this week; they are 5-point home faves for a game against the Clemson Tigers with a 44 Total.Clemson’s last 13 games against conference rivals have produced 10 Unders and 3 Overs and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight ACC matchups.

Miami has been hot in their last nine home games, going 7-2 SU and in their last 18 home games with a posted Total, have 14 Unders and 4 Overs, including five-straight Unders in a row.

The Tigers have been very effective when ‘dogged by 6-points or less, going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games with the betting line in that range.

College Picks:This week I’m laying the big points and playing on the Gators. I also might look at playing the underdog Tigers facing Miami.

Have a great week and good luck with your college bets.

Check the current College Football Betting Lines

Monday, October 19, 2009

Monday Night Football: Broncos vs. Chargers

When planning out how the conclusion to the NFL betting card for Week 6 would shape up, this matchup between the Denver Broncos and San Diego Chargers couldn’t have been scripted any better. ESPN has to be happy with this matchup. 

On one side of the field, an AFC West team that has surprised many with its .500 start and defensive struggles, desperately seeking to generate something positive out of its second divisional game of the year. And then on the other, an opponent that has already established dominance in the West with wins at home and abroad and looks to this game as a chance to prove to a national TV audience that they are indeed for real.

It all sounds about right; only thing is that somebody forgot to let the Broncos in on the plan.
In a complete role reversal, Denver has busted out of the gate this season with a 5-0 SU/ATS start. Critics shot holes in the record at 3-0, citing the win at Cincinnati as fluke and the triumphs over Cleveland and Oakland as compulsory. But come from behind victories the past two weeks against Dallas and a New England silenced most detractors. The Patriots response to that overtime loss in Denver – a 59-0 blowout vs. Tennessee on Sunday – quieted the rest.

Online sportsbooks have the odds on this one set at -3.5 on the home side Chargers heading into Monday’s betting action. San Diego’s 5-1 record vs. Denver in the past six meetings also had to be taken into account.
Denver’s defense has been the real story this year, led by linebacker Elvis Dumervil (five sacks) and inspired by a rejuvenated Brian Dawkins on the back end. It’s taken the heat off QB Kyle Orton, allowing him to pad a now very impressive 26-12 record as a starter by simple managing the football game, not win it on his arm alone.

Chargers QB Philip Rivers has thrived under the Monday Night lights, posting a 4-0 record and a sparkling 106.9 passer rating, but San Diego will need its 32nd ranked run-game to come around if it hopes to compete against Denver.

Betting on the Broncos D to keep opponents in check has produced a perfect record of five-straight picks on the "Under" and against this Charger team that cranked out 52 points against them in Week 17, capping a miserable 2008 season, revenge is the order of the day.

San Diego is fully rested off its bye week and Denver has a bye on-deck. The Broncos used to play well before a bye (11-2 ATS) but they are 0-2 SU/ATS the past two years, giving up 82 combined points in those losses. Offensive dominated both meetings last year as these hated rivals combined for 150 total points.

This is the first of three-straight divisional games for San Diego but this does not shape up as a look-ahead spot for either team. More likely, this should turn into one of the hardest hitting Monday games bettors have been treated to all year.

NFL Picks: The Broncos season has been very impressive, but I lean to the Chargers laying -3 (buy the hook), as they get the job done at home on Monday night football.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

BCS Bowl Rankings – Online Betting

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BCS Bowl Rankings – Online Betting
The first Bowl Championship Series rankings (BCS Rankings) of 2009 will be released this Sunday and as it stands, the Top 3 college football teams, according to the Associated Press and ESPN, are the Florida Gators, the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Texas Longhorns.

Let’s take a look at NCAA football odds for the top three teams as the sports betting public prepares for the rankings. 

Florida Gators
The song remains the same in the No. 1 position as the Gators have maintained their perch atop the Division I rankings since the preseason rankings were released.
Back in early-August, Florida was listed as the odds-on favorite to win both the Southeastern Conference (-225) and repeat as BCS champions (+200).

While the Gators started off the season with two soft opponents (Charleston Southern and Troy), they have faced three sturdier challenges recently and have passed the test, going 3-0 straight up.
Florida defeated the Tennessee Volunteers 23-13 back on September 19 but failed to cover as favorites of 30-something.

They hammered the Kentucky Wildcats 41-7, covering a 20-something pointspread, but received a scare when star QB Tim Tebow suffered a concussion.
Tebow bounced back in a game against LSU a few weeks later when the Gators defeated the Tigers 13-3, covering at 7.5-points.
Florida Gators Odds: Currently, the Florida Gators’ odds have improved, as they are currently -300 to take the SEC and +125 to win back to back BCS titles.

Alabama Crimson Tide
While the Gators own the best record in the SEC East at 5-0, they don’t own the best record in the SEC overall, the 6-0 Alabama Crimson Tide have that honor.

Currently ranked No. 2 in the AP poll, the Tide have definitely been moving since the preseason, when online sportsbook had them ranked No. 5 and listed at +2000 to take this season’s BCS title.

‘Bama has a tough sked going down the stretch however, as they face a tough divisional matchups the likes of the No. 22 South Carolina Gamecocks (the Tide are -17 for that game), the Tennessee Volunteers, the No. 10 LSU Tigers, the Mississippi St. Bulldogs and then the Auburn Tigers.

Alabama Odds: Like the Gators, the Tide’s odds have also improved as they are currently +350 to win the 2010 BCS championship.

Texas Longhorns
While they are still undefeated and atop the Big 12, the Texas Longhorns have taken a small slip in the AP poll.
Ranked as the second-best team in the nation in the preseason (+700 to win the national title at the time), Texas currently sees itself in the No. 3 spot.
The Longhorns can grab some brownie points this week with a convincing win over the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners in this year’s Red River Rivalry game—Texas is currently a 3.5-point favorite for that game—just in time for the first BCS rankings.

Prior to the release of those rankings, Texas is a +400 favorite in 2010 BCS championship futures online betting.

Elevator Going Down!
Oklahoma Sooners
While Texas, Florida and Alabama have seen their odds to win it all improve, the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners have seen the opposite occur.

The runners-up to the Florida Gators in last season’s BCS championship, Oklahoma was +500 to win the national title in the preseason but in hindsight, a wager on them wouldn’t have been wise.
Oklahoma’s bad luck started in Week 1 when they not only failed to cover a 21.5-point spread against the BYU Cougars, they lost 14-13 as well.

And the Sooners dealt their BCS chances another blow two weeks ago when they lost to the Miami Hurricanes 21-20.

The Sooners currently aren’t an option in 2010 BCS championship futures betting.
There usually is some controversy when the first BCS rankings are released but it’s a pretty safe bet that Florida, Alabama and Texas will be at the top.

Enjoy the weekend NCAA football betting action.