Baseball betting season: Cubs' starter Randy Wells is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers' starter Dave Bush. Randy Wells has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dave Bush has a 35% chance of a QS. If Randy Wells has a quality start the Cubs has a 72% chance of winning.
His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 65%. In Dave Bush quality starts the Brewers win 58%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Derrek Lee who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning.
The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Ryan Braun who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 58% chance of winning.
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